Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue

BACKGROUND: Dengue is the commonest arboviral disease of humans. An early and accurate diagnosis of dengue can support clinical management, surveillance and disease control and is central to achieving the World Health Organisation target of a 50% reduction in dengue case mortality by 2020. METHODS:...

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Autore principale: Simmons, Cameron
Natura: Journal Article
Lingua:inglese
Pubblicazione: 2018
Accesso online:https://demo7.dspace.org/handle/123456789/114
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author Simmons, Cameron
author_browse Simmons, Cameron
author_facet Simmons, Cameron
author_sort Simmons, Cameron
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description BACKGROUND: Dengue is the commonest arboviral disease of humans. An early and accurate diagnosis of dengue can support clinical management, surveillance and disease control and is central to achieving the World Health Organisation target of a 50% reduction in dengue case mortality by 2020. METHODS: 5729 children with fever of <72 hrs duration were enrolled into this multicenter prospective study in southern Vietnam between 2010-2012. A composite of gold standard diagnostic tests identified 1692 dengue cases. Using statistical methods, a novel Early Dengue Classifier (EDC) was developed that used patient age, white blood cell count and platelet count to discriminate dengue cases from non-dengue cases. RESULTS: The EDC had a sensitivity of 74.8% (95%CI: 73.0-76.8%) and specificity of 76.3% (95%CI: 75.2-77.6%) for the diagnosis of dengue. As an adjunctive test alongside NS1 rapid testing, sensitivity of the composite test was 91.6% (95%CI: 90.4-92.9%). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that the early diagnosis of dengue can be enhanced beyond the current standard of care using a simple evidence-based algorithm. The results should support patient management and clinical trials of specific therapies.
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spelling oai:localhost:123456789-1142021-04-07T16:30:07Z Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue Simmons, Cameron BACKGROUND: Dengue is the commonest arboviral disease of humans. An early and accurate diagnosis of dengue can support clinical management, surveillance and disease control and is central to achieving the World Health Organisation target of a 50% reduction in dengue case mortality by 2020. METHODS: 5729 children with fever of <72 hrs duration were enrolled into this multicenter prospective study in southern Vietnam between 2010-2012. A composite of gold standard diagnostic tests identified 1692 dengue cases. Using statistical methods, a novel Early Dengue Classifier (EDC) was developed that used patient age, white blood cell count and platelet count to discriminate dengue cases from non-dengue cases. RESULTS: The EDC had a sensitivity of 74.8% (95%CI: 73.0-76.8%) and specificity of 76.3% (95%CI: 75.2-77.6%) for the diagnosis of dengue. As an adjunctive test alongside NS1 rapid testing, sensitivity of the composite test was 91.6% (95%CI: 90.4-92.9%). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that the early diagnosis of dengue can be enhanced beyond the current standard of care using a simple evidence-based algorithm. The results should support patient management and clinical trials of specific therapies. 2018-09-14T11:14:55Z 2015-11-24T00:36:54Z 2018-09-14T11:14:55Z 2015-02-23 2015-02-23 2015-02-23 2015-02-23 2015-02-23 2015-02-23 2015-02-23 2015-02-23 2015-04-01 Journal Article https://demo7.dspace.org/handle/123456789/114 English
spellingShingle Simmons, Cameron
Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue
title Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue
title_full Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue
title_fullStr Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue
title_short Sensitivity and Specificity of a Novel Classifier for the Early Diagnosis of Dengue
title_sort sensitivity and specificity of a novel classifier for the early diagnosis of dengue
url https://demo7.dspace.org/handle/123456789/114
work_keys_str_mv AT simmonscameron sensitivityandspecificityofanovelclassifierfortheearlydiagnosisofdengue