Constructing Prediction Regions for Exchange Rate Path Forecasts: The Potential of Calibration
Skúmame a porovnávame výkonnosť dvoch nových konkurenčných prístupov – simultánne predikčné regióny a bootstrap spoločné predikčné regióny – pri vytváraní pásiem neistoty pre prognózy konsenzuálnej cesty výmenného kurzu EUR/USD. Predikčné oblasti sú konštruované pomocou skutočných chýb predpovede ce...
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